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AIHOT · Published on 2026-10-30 03:33

Anthropic study: 50 experts adopted AI agents' random preferences in up to 86% of analysis decisions without realizing it

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An experiment by Anthropic involving 50 causal inference experts found that when AI agents were assigned random preferences via coin flip, experts adopted these preferences in up to 86% of four analysis decisions. The net impact on decision-making ranged from 62% to 82%, known as the flip rate. Participants who held their own initial views were even more likely to change their minds when presented with opposing opinions. Experience, education level, and self-rated expertise offered no reliable protection against this influence.

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Can AI’s random preferences sway experts? Keep the reasoning behind your decisions

A collected report describes an experiment with 50 causal-inference experts, with adoption of an AI agent’s random preference reaching 86% on some analytical decisions. Keep the study’s scope, advice and evidence distinct; the maximum is not a result for everyone.

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